Are Revisions to USDA Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed?

Hedging Effectiveness around USDA Crop Reports

Management Earnings Forecasts and Value of Analyst Forecast Revisions

Prior studies evaluate the relative importance of the sources of value that financial analysts bring to the market based on the price impact of forecast revisions over the event time. We find that management earnings forecasts influence the timing and precision of analyst forecasts. More importantly, evidence suggests that prior studies’ finding of weaker (stronger) stock-price responses to for...

Are Economic Forecasts Rational?

Use of long-range weather forecasts in crop predictions

Farmers, commodities dealers, water managers, and others have long sought to forecast production of major crops through the use of models requiring some sort of weather input. Steady strides have been made recently in developing physiological models of crops such as wheat and rice. Such models should include daily minimum and maximum temperatures, precipitation, and solar radiation. Up to now, ...

Integration of Heterogeneous Pluviometric Data for Crop Forecasts

Crop forecast is an activity practiced by experts in agriculture, based on large data volumes. These data cover climatological information of the most diverse types, concerning a geographic region and the type of culture. Besides volume, another problem to face concerns data heterogeneity. This paper presents a project for development of a data management system for crop forecasts. The paper is...